CB
Customers Bancorp, Inc. (CUBI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong quarter with broad-based growth and clear upside vs Street. Q3 diluted EPS was $2.20, core EPS $2.20, NIM expanded 19 bps sequentially to 3.46%, and efficiency improved to 45.4% as deposits rose $1.4B and non-interest-bearing (NIB) balances hit a record $6.4B (31% mix) .
- Capital strengthened via a ~$163M common equity raise; CET1 rose ~100 bps to 13.0%, TCE/TA to 8.4%, and tangible book value per share (TBVPS) grew ~6% QoQ to $59.72 .
- Guidance raised: 2025 deposits growth to 8–10% (from 5–9%), loans 13–14% (from 8–11%), NII +13–15% (from +7–10%), and core efficiency “below 50%,” CET1 ~13% YE25; management cited momentum in deposit franchise and loan pipeline as key drivers .
- Consensus beats: EPS $2.20 vs $1.93 and Revenue $205.6M vs $185.1M; trajectory shows accelerating NIM tailwinds and operating leverage. Preferred Series F full redemption announced for Dec 15, 2025 (9.06% coupon), a favorable capital/COF optimization catalyst * .
- Stock drivers: accelerated low-cost/NIB deposit mix (cubiX scaling), consecutive NIM expansion, capital optimization (equity raise + preferred redemption), and strengthened 2025 outlook support estimate revisions higher.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Rapid deposit-led growth and remix: Total deposits +$1.4B QoQ to $20.4B with NIB +$0.9B to a record $6.4B (31% of deposits), aiding margin and funding costs .
- NIM and NII acceleration: NIM +19 bps QoQ to 3.46% (fourth straight expansion); NII +$25M QoQ to $201.9M; core efficiency improved to 45.4% .
- Capital and TBVPS: CET1 13.0% (up ~100 bps QoQ) after ~$163M equity raise; TBVPS $59.72 (+6% QoQ); TCE/TA 8.4% .
- Management quote: “Net interest margin continued to expand… deposit led loan growth, growth in non-interest bearing and lower-cost deposits, and well managed funding costs.” — President Sam Sidhu .
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What Went Wrong
- Credit costs elevated vs Q2: Provision rose to $26.5M (from $20.8M) and NCOs to $15.4M (from $13.1M), driven mainly by consumer installment losses; commercial NCOs remained low .
- Non-interest income quality mixed: Q/Q uplift partly from warrant settlements; prior quarters included securities losses and program wind-down fees; volatility in noninterest lines remains a watch item .
- Regulatory/FDIC: While FDIC assessments declined QoQ by ~$3.4M, the fee remains a headwind; management highlighted the complex, risk-based nature of the calculation .
Financial Results
Sequential performance (Q1–Q3 2025)
Year-over-year (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2025)
Loan growth by vertical (QoQ, Q3 2025)
KPIs and balance sheet quality
Guidance Changes
Also post-quarter: announced full redemption of 9.06% Series F Preferred on Dec 15, 2025, reducing higher-cost capital going forward .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Net interest margin continued to expand in the quarter as we realized the benefits of deposit led loan growth, growth in non-interest bearing and lower-cost deposits, and well managed funding costs.” — Sam Sidhu, President .
- “We successfully raised $163 million of common equity… which further strengthened our already solid capital position and gives us flexibility to potentially redeem the remaining tranche of preferred stock… in Q4 2025.” — Jay Sidhu, Chairman & CEO .
- “We believe that our $24 billion balance sheet is stronger than ever, with very robust capital ratios, strong credit quality and reserves, and ample liquidity to support our growing pipelines.” — Sam Sidhu .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance raised across deposits, loans, NII, and efficiency on momentum and visibility; management noted some 3Q pull-forward may temper 4Q growth but still expects above-industry growth into 2026 .
- cubiX institutional adoption: balances maintained/increased post GENIUS Act; deposit growth heavily driven by existing institutional clients, with further adoption anticipated .
- FDIC assessments: risk-based model; achieved a reduction this quarter, ~56% tied to retroactive adjustments for 1H25; ongoing progress expected as balance sheet de-risks .
- Credit framing: Commercial portfolio credit remains strong; consumer installment drives majority of NCOs; reserve coverage robust at 534% of NPLs .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 beats: EPS +$0.27 and Revenue +$20.46M vs S&P Global consensus. Management’s stronger FY outlook suggests Street estimates likely move higher on deposits/loan momentum, NIM expansion, and better efficiency.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Deposit-led growth and remix are accelerating — record NIB (31%), cost of deposits down to 2.77%, supporting a fourth straight quarter of NIM expansion to 3.46% .
- Operating leverage is inflecting — core efficiency improved to 45.4% despite reinvestment; expect sub-50% for FY25, implying sustained earnings power .
- Capital optimization ongoing — CET1 13.0% post equity raise; TBVPS compounding; Series F preferred full redemption removes a 9.06% coupon drag heading into 2026 .
- Credit remains manageable — commercial credit solid; consumer losses elevated but provisioned; reserves/NPLs strong at 534% and NPL ratio improved to 0.17% .
- cubiX scaling is a strategic differentiator — larger, granular, low-cost institutional balances underpin NIM and liquidity, while new team hires deepen franchise reach .
- Raised 2025 guidance (deposits, loans, NII, efficiency) should drive upward estimate revisions and multiple support if execution continues .
- Watch items: pace of consumer-installment normalization, sustainability of cubiX balances amid rate path, and FDIC/regulatory cost cadence .
Additional Details and Cross-Checks
- Q3 highlights: Net income to common $73.7M; ROAA 1.26%, ROCE 15.57% .
- Liquidity and uninsured deposits coverage: immediately available liquidity ~146% of uninsured; total liquidity ~$10.9B .
- Balance sheet scale: Total assets $24.26B; total loans and leases $16.30B; deposits $20.41B at 9/30/25 .
- Tax rate: 24.5% in Q3 2025 .
Footnotes: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*