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CB

Customers Bancorp, Inc. (CUBI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong quarter with broad-based growth and clear upside vs Street. Q3 diluted EPS was $2.20, core EPS $2.20, NIM expanded 19 bps sequentially to 3.46%, and efficiency improved to 45.4% as deposits rose $1.4B and non-interest-bearing (NIB) balances hit a record $6.4B (31% mix) .
  • Capital strengthened via a ~$163M common equity raise; CET1 rose ~100 bps to 13.0%, TCE/TA to 8.4%, and tangible book value per share (TBVPS) grew ~6% QoQ to $59.72 .
  • Guidance raised: 2025 deposits growth to 8–10% (from 5–9%), loans 13–14% (from 8–11%), NII +13–15% (from +7–10%), and core efficiency “below 50%,” CET1 ~13% YE25; management cited momentum in deposit franchise and loan pipeline as key drivers .
  • Consensus beats: EPS $2.20 vs $1.93 and Revenue $205.6M vs $185.1M; trajectory shows accelerating NIM tailwinds and operating leverage. Preferred Series F full redemption announced for Dec 15, 2025 (9.06% coupon), a favorable capital/COF optimization catalyst * .
  • Stock drivers: accelerated low-cost/NIB deposit mix (cubiX scaling), consecutive NIM expansion, capital optimization (equity raise + preferred redemption), and strengthened 2025 outlook support estimate revisions higher.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Rapid deposit-led growth and remix: Total deposits +$1.4B QoQ to $20.4B with NIB +$0.9B to a record $6.4B (31% of deposits), aiding margin and funding costs .
    • NIM and NII acceleration: NIM +19 bps QoQ to 3.46% (fourth straight expansion); NII +$25M QoQ to $201.9M; core efficiency improved to 45.4% .
    • Capital and TBVPS: CET1 13.0% (up ~100 bps QoQ) after ~$163M equity raise; TBVPS $59.72 (+6% QoQ); TCE/TA 8.4% .
    • Management quote: “Net interest margin continued to expand… deposit led loan growth, growth in non-interest bearing and lower-cost deposits, and well managed funding costs.” — President Sam Sidhu .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Credit costs elevated vs Q2: Provision rose to $26.5M (from $20.8M) and NCOs to $15.4M (from $13.1M), driven mainly by consumer installment losses; commercial NCOs remained low .
    • Non-interest income quality mixed: Q/Q uplift partly from warrant settlements; prior quarters included securities losses and program wind-down fees; volatility in noninterest lines remains a watch item .
    • Regulatory/FDIC: While FDIC assessments declined QoQ by ~$3.4M, the fee remains a headwind; management highlighted the complex, risk-based nature of the calculation .

Financial Results

Sequential performance (Q1–Q3 2025)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Diluted EPS ($)0.29 1.73 2.20
Core EPS ($)1.54 1.80 2.20
Net Interest Income ($M)167.4 176.7 201.9
Net Interest Margin (%)3.13 3.27 3.46
Core Efficiency Ratio (%)52.69 51.56 45.40
Total Deposits ($B)18.93 18.98 20.41
NIB Deposits ($B)5.55 5.48 6.38
Total Loans & Leases ($B)15.10 15.41 16.30
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)28.3 20.8 26.5
Net Charge-offs ($M)17.1 13.1 15.4

Year-over-year (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2025)

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Diluted EPS ($)1.31 2.20
Net Interest Income ($M)158.5 201.9
Net Interest Margin (%)3.06 3.46
Efficiency Ratio (%)62.40 45.39
Total Deposits ($B)18.07 20.41
NIB Deposits ($B)4.67 6.38
Total Loans & Leases ($B)14.05 16.30
NPLs / Loans (%)0.34 0.17
ROAA (%)0.88 1.26
ROCE (%)10.44 15.57

Loan growth by vertical (QoQ, Q3 2025)

VerticalQoQ Change ($M)
Fund Finance505
CRE (Investment/Construction/Multifamily)218
Venture Banking99
Consumer Installment HFI88
Commercial Banking Teams22
Equipment Finance15
Healthcare6
Other-13
Mortgage Finance-49
Total893

KPIs and balance sheet quality

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cost of Deposits (%)3.46 2.85 2.77
NPLs / Loans (%)0.34 0.18 0.17
Reserves / NPLs (%)281.36 518.29 534.14
CET1 (%)12.46 12.05 13.0
TCE / TA (%)7.7 7.9 8.4
cubiX Avg Deposits ($B)2.6 (Q3’24) 3.1 (Q2’25) 3.9 (Q3’25)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Deposit GrowthFY 20255%–9% 8%–10% Raised
Loan GrowthFY 20258%–11% 13%–14% Raised
Net Interest Income GrowthFY 20257%–10% 13%–15% Raised
Core Efficiency RatioFY 2025Low–mid 50s (bias low end) Below 50% Raised (better)
CET1YE 2025~11.5% (prior baseline) ~13% Raised
Tax RateFY 202522%–25% 22%–25% Maintained

Also post-quarter: announced full redemption of 9.06% Series F Preferred on Dec 15, 2025, reducing higher-cost capital going forward .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Deposit transformation & NIB mixQ1: cost of deposits fell 25 bps; NIB 29.3% . Q2: deposits flat QoQ (+$43M), mix improved; commentary on BM Tech runoff and remixing .+$1.4B deposits QoQ; NIB +$0.9B to $6.4B (31%); cost of deposits down to 2.77% .Improving
NIM trajectoryQ1: 3.13% (up 2 bps) . Q2: 3.27% (+14 bps) .3.46% (+19 bps), 4th straight quarter of expansion .Improving
cubiX platformQ1/Q2: positioning as mission-critical payments; growing client base .cubiX avg deposits $3.9B (vs $3.1B Q2, $2.6B Q3’24); institutional adoption momentum .Scaling
Capital actionsQ1: redeemed Series E preferred; TCE/TA 7.7% . Q2: CET1 to 12.0% .~$163M common raise; CET1 13.0%; TBVPS to $59.72; announced Series F preferred redemption .Strengthening
Credit qualityQ1/Q2: NPL ratio down to 0.18%; reserves/NPLs rose to 518% .NPLs 0.17%; reserves/NPLs 534%; commercial NCOs remain low (16 bps annualized) .Stable
Operating leverageQ1/Q2: core efficiency 52.7%→51.6% .45.4% with lowest OpEx/avg assets among peers per MRQ .Improving
FDIC/Reg feesQ1/Q2: elevated vs prior-year; reinvestment in risk and tech .FDIC assessments down ~$3.4M QoQ; ongoing complex, risk-based calc .Moderating

Management Commentary

  • “Net interest margin continued to expand in the quarter as we realized the benefits of deposit led loan growth, growth in non-interest bearing and lower-cost deposits, and well managed funding costs.” — Sam Sidhu, President .
  • “We successfully raised $163 million of common equity… which further strengthened our already solid capital position and gives us flexibility to potentially redeem the remaining tranche of preferred stock… in Q4 2025.” — Jay Sidhu, Chairman & CEO .
  • “We believe that our $24 billion balance sheet is stronger than ever, with very robust capital ratios, strong credit quality and reserves, and ample liquidity to support our growing pipelines.” — Sam Sidhu .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance raised across deposits, loans, NII, and efficiency on momentum and visibility; management noted some 3Q pull-forward may temper 4Q growth but still expects above-industry growth into 2026 .
  • cubiX institutional adoption: balances maintained/increased post GENIUS Act; deposit growth heavily driven by existing institutional clients, with further adoption anticipated .
  • FDIC assessments: risk-based model; achieved a reduction this quarter, ~56% tied to retroactive adjustments for 1H25; ongoing progress expected as balance sheet de-risks .
  • Credit framing: Commercial portfolio credit remains strong; consumer installment drives majority of NCOs; reserve coverage robust at 534% of NPLs .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS Consensus Mean ($)1.2986*1.5217*1.9300*
EPS Actual ($)1.54*1.80*2.20*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($M)165.12*171.73*185.10*
Revenue Actual ($M)114.66*185.53*205.56*
  • Q3 2025 beats: EPS +$0.27 and Revenue +$20.46M vs S&P Global consensus. Management’s stronger FY outlook suggests Street estimates likely move higher on deposits/loan momentum, NIM expansion, and better efficiency.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Deposit-led growth and remix are accelerating — record NIB (31%), cost of deposits down to 2.77%, supporting a fourth straight quarter of NIM expansion to 3.46% .
  • Operating leverage is inflecting — core efficiency improved to 45.4% despite reinvestment; expect sub-50% for FY25, implying sustained earnings power .
  • Capital optimization ongoing — CET1 13.0% post equity raise; TBVPS compounding; Series F preferred full redemption removes a 9.06% coupon drag heading into 2026 .
  • Credit remains manageable — commercial credit solid; consumer losses elevated but provisioned; reserves/NPLs strong at 534% and NPL ratio improved to 0.17% .
  • cubiX scaling is a strategic differentiator — larger, granular, low-cost institutional balances underpin NIM and liquidity, while new team hires deepen franchise reach .
  • Raised 2025 guidance (deposits, loans, NII, efficiency) should drive upward estimate revisions and multiple support if execution continues .
  • Watch items: pace of consumer-installment normalization, sustainability of cubiX balances amid rate path, and FDIC/regulatory cost cadence .

Additional Details and Cross-Checks

  • Q3 highlights: Net income to common $73.7M; ROAA 1.26%, ROCE 15.57% .
  • Liquidity and uninsured deposits coverage: immediately available liquidity ~146% of uninsured; total liquidity ~$10.9B .
  • Balance sheet scale: Total assets $24.26B; total loans and leases $16.30B; deposits $20.41B at 9/30/25 .
  • Tax rate: 24.5% in Q3 2025 .

Footnotes: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*